27 Jan 2022
NZD/USD to sustain further losses below the 0.6600 level – Westpac
Economists at Westpac expect kiwi’s January decline to continue to 0.6600, following NZ-US yield spreads which have been depressed by a more hawkish Federal Reserve and repricing.
Fed rate hikes to outpace market pricing
“While NZ’s economic data pulse should remain positive, the Fed-driven USD will dominate. NZ-US yield spreads have declined recently, with the RBNZ fully priced but the Fed arguably underpriced.”
“Multi-month, we remain bearish, targeting sub-0.6600. Our view is that the US dollar will outperform most currencies over the next few months as Fed rate hikes outpace market pricing.”