USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso hits record low

  • Mexico's Peso drops to lifetime lows, taking month-to-date losses to 23 percent. 
  • USD/MXN's technical indicator is reporting overbought conditions. 

Mexican peso continues to lose ground amid the relentless sell-off in oil and the broad-based haven demand for the US dollar. 

The local currency is currently trading at a record low of 24.20 per US dollar, representing a solid 23 percent slide on a month-to-date basis. Meanwhile, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil is currently reporting a staggering 50 percent drop on a month-to-date basis. 

Commodity futures listed in China are witnessing a huge sell-off this Thursday morning, as noted by Yuan Talks. Notably, oil futures are down over 7 percent. 

In the FX markets, the US dollar is drawing haven bids and is scoring gains even against traditional haven currencies like the Japanese yen. 

From a technical perspective, USD/MXN is showing little signs of buyer exhaustion. The 14-day relative strength index is reporting extreme overbought conditions with an above-80 print. The indicator, however, would gain credence if and when signs of bull fatigue emerge on the price chart in the form of a doji or other candlestick patterns like bearish engulfing, bearish outside day, etc. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

 

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