CNY: Taking back control - TDS

Mitul Kotecha, Senior Emerging Markets Strategist at TD Securities, notes that the China's central bank, PBoC reintroduced a counter-cyclical factor earlier this month in determining the CNY daily fixing, according to its website.

Key Quotes

“We think it will provide for more stability in the CNY over the near term, in conjunction with other recent measures, limiting the need to expend FX reserves.”

“Asian currencies are likely to benefit in the short term, with SGD, INR, KRW and IDR the most sensitive to CNY gyrations in recent months.”

“Further out, we still think that the CNY and many Asian currencies will be vulnerable to a deteriorating trade outlook, especially the likes of KRW, TWD and SGD.”