USD/CAD sinks to lows near 1.3820

USD/CAD is now picking up further selling pressure as a recovery in crude oil prices is lending support to the Canadian dollar.

USD/CAD weaker on oil recovery, Iran eyed

Crude oil prices are edging higher today, somewhat anticipating a positive outcome from today’s meeting in Iran between OPEC delegates and Iranian officials. The buying interest is thus soaring around CAD, relegating spot to daily troughs in the low-1.3800s.

Apart from the oil dynamics, the US calendar will also take centre stage later in the NA session, with US Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, Producer Prices and the FOMC minutes grabbing all the attention.

USD/CAD significant levels

As of writing the pair is down 0.39% at 1.3829 facing the immediate support at 1.3635 (low Feb.4) ahead of 1.3607 (100-day sma) and finally 1.3216 (200-day sma). On the other hand, a breakout of 1.3970 (20-day sma) would expose 1.4040 (38.2% Fibo of YTD down move) and then 1.4327 (high Jan.26).

Oil: Energy beyond the barrel – BBVA

Research Team at BBVA, suggests that the current market conditions still suggest further oil price declines but as oversupply shrinks, a rebound in prices is likely.
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USD likely to struggle to capitalize on any risk recovery - BNPP

Research Team at BNP Paribas, suggests that while the risk environment has improved over the past few days, at least part of this stabilization reflects a reduction in Fed expectations as well as reduced expectations for CNY devaluation in light of the USD’s broad retreat.
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