11 May 2015
Barclays: Key events ahead for GBP – eFXnews
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Research Team at Barclays, views that GBP will see another test this week as they preview the key data releases and events ahead in the UK, as noted by eFXnews.
Key Quotes
“This week, GBP strength will be tested by the Bank of England Inflation Report (Wednesday), as well as industrial and manufacturing output (Tuesday) and labour market data (Wednesday).”
"The May Inflation Report is likely to include downward revisions to its near-term inflation and GDP forecasts, given recent disappointing data...Governor Carney may indicate a degree of comfort with current interest rate market pricing, which implies the first BoE rate hike in Q2 16,"
"In terms of data, we forecast March industrial production to increase 0.1% m/m (consensus: 0.0%) and the market expects manufacturing production to increase 0.3% m/m.”
“We expect the March labour market report to show a new drop in unemployment to 5.5% (consensus: 5.5%; last 5.6%), in line with the previous month’s claimant count.”
“We also expect wages to pick up slightly, to 1.8% 3m/y (consensus: 1.7%), as core earnings continue to recover (+1.9% 3m/y; consensus: 2.1%).”
“The pace of decline in jobless claims is likely to moderate in April to 15k, the slowest in two years (consensus: -20k).”
This content has been provided under specific arrangement with eFXnews.
Key Quotes
“This week, GBP strength will be tested by the Bank of England Inflation Report (Wednesday), as well as industrial and manufacturing output (Tuesday) and labour market data (Wednesday).”
"The May Inflation Report is likely to include downward revisions to its near-term inflation and GDP forecasts, given recent disappointing data...Governor Carney may indicate a degree of comfort with current interest rate market pricing, which implies the first BoE rate hike in Q2 16,"
"In terms of data, we forecast March industrial production to increase 0.1% m/m (consensus: 0.0%) and the market expects manufacturing production to increase 0.3% m/m.”
“We expect the March labour market report to show a new drop in unemployment to 5.5% (consensus: 5.5%; last 5.6%), in line with the previous month’s claimant count.”
“We also expect wages to pick up slightly, to 1.8% 3m/y (consensus: 1.7%), as core earnings continue to recover (+1.9% 3m/y; consensus: 2.1%).”
“The pace of decline in jobless claims is likely to moderate in April to 15k, the slowest in two years (consensus: -20k).”
This content has been provided under specific arrangement with eFXnews.